Members’ Newsletter 10/12

*disclaimer: Not financial advice. This is my personal trade plan only. I am not qualified or licensed to advise anyone on their specific positions or trades, I am sharing my personal opinions only. Never make financial decisions based on any information on this site or any associated platforms. Always consult a professional for investment related advice and do your due diligence*

Today the markets moved in slowwww motion… but overall, nothing really changed. Tomorrow morning (8:30EST) is CPI, which will almost certainly bring back the volatility. Today’s update is a bit lighter and will seem very similar to yesterday’s as today’s snail-paced action had a minimal impact on the counts… in short, the situation is the same, just delayed. Let’s dive into the charts:

$ES 2D

$NQ 2D

  • No changes. Waiting to see how this w5 of (A) completes.

$ES 8H

$NQ 8H

  • The two options from yesterday are unchanged. I expected the bounce to start today, but instead they forgot to turn the markets on this morning. When the relief bounce does come I will still be watching the structure to determine which path we are seeing… as a reminder:
    CORRECTIVE BOUNCE = Orange path. Sub w(2) within an extended 5th
    IMPULSIVE BOUNCE = Blue path. W(B) has begun

$ES 90m

$NQ 90m

  • Yesterday I expected the micro 5th wave to complete overnight/early this morning, essentially making it a non-factor for today… instead, price went sideways. I suspect price will find its way lower overnight/into tomorrow’s CPI announcement before the bounce begins. Exactly where/when this micro w5 ends is TBD and not very important – my main focus is on the structure of the bounce that follows.

$ES 5m – How it went

$ES 5m – How it felt

  • Just for fun….

$GOOG 2H

  • $GOOG still has my attention IF the indices take the orange path.

$GC 12H

  • Gold survived 12H demand for now, but the reaction so far is not inspiring. I will continue to monitor price from this zone. A proper reversal here would take gold towards 1746, failure of this zone likely leads to a move below 1600.

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